A forum devoted to current political, economic trends, and news of the Maghreb region.

Saturday, March 19, 2011

Awaiting International Intervention...

As the world awaits the first manifestations of the no-fly zone over Libya, Gaddafi forces continue its bombardment campaign on Misrata and Benghazi despite his declaration of a ceasefire. Videos showed utter destruction in the western part of Benghazi. Angst is growing amongst rebel leaders on what they perceive as the delay in deploying the no-fly zone. Meanwhile, Gaddafi is engaged in a last ditch effort to position his forces as close to Benghazi as possible, maybe in anticipation of a stalemated conflict in Libya.

In fact, short of substantial international military support beyond the no-fly zone decision, rebels couldn't probably topple Gaddafi in Tripoli. A lack of greater international involvement, short of ground invasion, could see Libya split into two parallel de facto region of influence. The Paris summit underway could go farther into providing much needed logistical and military support for the rebels. The summit also features Arab participation of Morocco, Jordan, UAE and Qatar part of what appears to be a gathering of an impressive international coalition against Gaddafi. In the coming hours, we should expect air strikes against select pro-Gaddafi targets. Such action is direly needed in order to destroy the air and ground capabilities of Gaddafi's forces. The latest reports suggest that Gaddafi is gathering civilians as a human shield around potential sites for international air strikes.

The coming days could decisively determine the future of the conflict in Libya. Hopefully the writing on the wall is clear for some in Gaddafi's entourage, and there is some substantial defection in his inner circle. However, that is highly unlikely as that circle is tightly knit and comprises his own sons with their military forces and members of his tribe. Gaddafi has shown utter contempt and disregard for the Libyan people, shelling at will in an attempt to punish those that dared to defy his dictatorial rule. Let's hope the international intervention swiftly bring about a successful conclusion to the turmoil in Libya, one that see Gaddafi's regime crumble.


4 comments:

Anonymous said...

You might be interested to read this extract from Alaa Al Aswany's new ebook ON THE STATE OF EGYPT which sheds some very knowledgable light from this highly regarded historian on the Egyptian revolution and its impact in the Middle East.

http://www.meetatthegate.com/component/option,com_article/article_id,847/

Mara said...

Hello,

I was trying to get your e-mail address in order that I can send you an invitation to a US Middle East Conference hosted by the Brookings Institute and the Embassy of Qatar. Please send your e-mail address to
mara.vandlik@tmgstrategies.com

Maghrebi said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Maghrebi said...

Sure. but can you tell me a bit more about your organization, please? I couldn't find anything related to Middle East politics in it.